
Six-person production pipelines are over. They just don't know it yet.
For 30 years, training has been produced by relay race. The SME briefs the instructional designer. The ID briefs the writer. The writer briefs the developer. Stakeholders review. Brand reviews. Legal reviews (who insists on rewording every imperative verb). Six months later a course exists, and the thing it was teaching has already changed.
That model is collapsing. Structurally, not gradually.
The unit of production in every creative field is shrinking from team to individual, and training is next. Figma did it to design. AI tooling is doing it to code. Consumer cameras did it to film. Every time, the gatekeepers warned quality would collapse. Every time, the work got better, because the people who cared most were finally the people in control.
Instructional designers have felt this worse than anyone. You can spot a bad course in 30 seconds. You know what the intervention should be. And you spend your week formatting slides, chasing approvals, and defending decisions against people who've never sat with a learner.
That's the waste. The smartest judgment in the field, spent on the wrong tasks.
The prosumer-operator is what comes next. One person, ideally the one who already knows what good looks like, with the leverage of a team and none of the relay race. Real authorship over the work. The loop closed end to end. The committee no longer the chokepoint.
The industry's reflex will be to scale outward: more vendors, more outsourcing, more agencies producing more of the same. We're betting the other way. One operator with leverage beats six people with handoffs.